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# [MAURITIUS] Growth at 3% in 2026: Mauritius economy slows under weak domestic demand and global headwinds
- URL: https://businessoi.media/en/maurice-croissance-a-3-en-2026-leconomie-mauricienne-ralentit-sous-les-coups-de-la-demande-interieure-et-des-tensions-mondiales-en/
- Published: 2026-10-17T02:48:32.000Z
- Updated: 2026-10-17T02:48:32.000Z
- Description: Mauritius revises 2026 growth to 2.8-3% (vs 3.2% in 2025). Weak domestic demand, private investment expected down 1.2%. Tourism (+18% revenues in H1) and financial services support the economy.
- Author: Emmanuel TAOCHY
- Tags: Maurice, Économie, finance, Investissement, Revue matinale, #en

**Mauritius enters the final quarter of 2026 with growth revised downward, expected between 2.8% and 3%, compared to 3.2% in 2025.** Behind a nominally larger GDP — thanks to revised national accounts — the reality is more mixed: weak domestic demand, declining private investment and persistent inflationary pressures.

## A first quarter that sets the tone

Real GDP growth capped at +2% in the first quarter of 2026, almost half the +3.4% recorded a year earlier. Inflation stood at 4.9% in August, fuelled by rising energy, transport and shipping costs linked to persistent Middle East tensions. Economists describe the context as a "direct stagflationary shock".

## Private investment: the major concern

Statistics Mauritius anticipates a 1.2% real decline in private investment for 2026\. SMEs are struggling with difficult access to financing in a high interest rate environment. The manufactured export index had already fallen to 78.1 in 2025, signalling a loss of export market share. Construction remains sluggish.

## Tourism holds, financial sector steady

These two pillars are preventing a sharper downturn. Tourist arrivals rose 2.1% year-on-year from January to July 2026, reaching 804,633 visitors. First-half tourist receipts jumped 18%, to Rs 55.9 billion. Financial services and ICT continue to contribute positively, but their structural depth remains insufficient to offset weaknesses elsewhere.

## Why this matters

This deceleration reflects a structural vulnerability: a Mauritian economy still too dependent on a few sectors. The economic model reform — diversification into renewables, digital, and high-value-added services — is more urgent than ever. For foreign investors, Mauritius remains attractive, but vigilance is warranted.