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# [MADAGASCAR] UN-AU Mission: July Visit Validates Inclusive Dialogue Conditions, March 2027 Set as Horizon
- URL: https://businessoi.media/en/madagascar-mediation-onu-ua-la-mission-juillet-valide-linclusivite-du-dialogue-lhorizon-fixe-a-mars-2027-en/
- Published: 2026-07-20T13:40:20.000Z
- Updated: 2026-07-20T13:40:20.000Z
- Description: The UN-AU mission in Antananarivo (July 12–19, 2026) validates conditions for an inclusive dialogue in Madagascar. A second tripartite is expected by August, with March 2027 as the roadmap horizon.
- Author: Emmanuel TAOCHY
- Tags: Madagascar, Économie, Investissement, Afrique, Clôture, #en

**A joint UN and African Union mission visited Antananarivo from July 12 to 19, 2026, to assess conditions for supporting Madagascar's national concertation process. Its verdict: the process can move forward — provided inclusivity is guaranteed. A second tripartite mission is expected as soon as August or September 2026.**

## Nine Months of Suspension — An Exit in Sight?

Since the October 13, 2025 change of power and Madagascar's immediate African Union suspension — announced just two days later, on October 15 — the island has been operating outside the continental institutional framework. The marginalisation has direct business consequences: frozen multilateral funding, uncertainty for foreign investors, and limited access to AfCFTA mechanisms.

## The July Mission: Inclusivity Above All

AU Special Envoy Mohamed Idriss Farah and UN Special Representative to the AU Parfait Onanga-Anyanga insisted on one non-negotiable principle: the national concertation must be «inclusive.» In practice, all components of civil society, the opposition, and political parties must participate. The transition government — led by Head of State Colonel Michaël Randrianirina and Prime Minister Mamitiana Rajaonarison — received the international delegation under this pressure-laden dialogue context.

## Three Organisations, One Coordinated Front

The UN, AU and SADC (Southern African Development Community) are now aligning their positions and messaging. This united front is unprecedented in the management of Madagascar's crisis and sends a clear signal to the transition authorities: reintegration into the AU requires concrete, measurable progress on the electoral roadmap, ultimately leading to a presidential election.

## The Economic Stakes of Reintegration

Madagascar's return to the African institutional fold is far more than a diplomatic formality. It conditions access to African Development Bank financing, full participation in AfCFTA meetings, and the restoration of investor confidence. Technical and financial partners — including the World Bank, which has unlocked $425 million in two separate tranches since early 2026 — are maintaining their commitments, but political uncertainty remains the primary barrier to the country's attractiveness.

## Why It Matters

Madagascar is the Indian Ocean's fourth-largest economy. Its return to institutional stability would be a driver of dynamism for the entire region. The next tripartite mission — planned for August or September 2026 — will be decisive: its conclusions will shape the concrete timeline for the return to constitutional order, with March 2027 set as the horizon for the entire national concertation process.